Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Mjällby — Hammarby
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hammarby are clear favourites: 59% against 17% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hammarby are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mjällby — Hammarby What is xG? | 1.1–2.1 | |
| Mjällby not to lose | 41% | |
| Hammarby not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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Form
- 11.10Djurgården0:1
- 20.09away · Degerfors1:0
- 13.09Brommapojkarna3:1
- 06.09away · Örgryte1:1
- 30.08away · AIK2:3
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Hammarby — Mjällby3:0
- 22.05.2025Hammarby — Mjällby1:2
- 18.04.2025Mjällby — Hammarby3:1
- 28.07.2024Hammarby — Mjällby3:0
- 15.05.2024Mjällby — Hammarby3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | +13 | 40 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjällby | 23 | 5 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | -15 | 20 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- GAISIFK Göteborgpreliminary5026251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →