Serie B, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena — Hellas Verona
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Modena to win (48%), came true.
Modena are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Modena are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Modena — Hellas Verona What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Modena not to lose | 76% | |
| Hellas Verona not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Modena
- Modena goals
- Hellas Verona goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Empoli2:1
- 12.09away · Südtirol1:1
- 06.09Avellino0:1
- 28.08away · Cremonese3:0
- 22.08away · Benevento2:1
- 20.09LR Vicenza2:1
- 11.09away · Benevento1:3
- 06.09Arezzo5:0
- 03.09away · Cagliari2:1
- 29.08away · Padova1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Next matches
- Hellas VeronaCatanzaro16 October · Serie B4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- CarrareseModena17 October · Serie B333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
Serie B on the same day
- 4527281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
- 383131XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →