Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Carrarese — Modena
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Carrarese 33%, Modena 37%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Modena are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Carrarese — Modena What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Carrarese not to lose | 63% | |
| Modena not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Carrarese
- Carrarese goals
- Modena goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Padova2:0
- 19.09Benevento0:1
- 12.09away · Catanzaro0:1
- 05.09Empoli0:1
- 29.08away · Ascoli1:1
- 11.10Hellas Verona3:2
- 20.09Empoli2:1
- 12.09away · Südtirol1:1
- 06.09Avellino0:1
- 28.08away · Cremonese3:0
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Modena — Carrarese2:0
- 01.10.2025Carrarese — Modena0:0
- 04.05.2025Carrarese — Modena2:1
- 09.11.2024Modena — Carrarese2:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- 4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →