Austrian Bundesliga, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ried — Austria Wien
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Ried are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ried — Austria Wien What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Ried not to lose | 74% | |
| Austria Wien not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ried
- Ried goals
- Austria Wien goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · WSG Tirol2:1
- 20.09Wolfsberger AC4:1
- 11.09Salzburg1:1
- 30.08away · Hartberg2:3
- 21.08Grazer AK1:0
- 10.10Sturm Graz0:2
- 19.09away · Grazer AK2:2
- 13.09Austria Lustenau2:1
- 02.09WSG Tirol0:1
- 30.08away · Salzburg1:4
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Ried — Austria Wien0:2
- 20.09.2025Austria Wien — Ried3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 5, Championship round | Ried | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 11, Relegation round | Altach | 8 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- 1220682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →