Ligue 1, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Strasbourg — Auxerre
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Strasbourg are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Strasbourg are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Strasbourg — Auxerre What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Strasbourg not to lose | 79% | |
| Auxerre not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Strasbourg
- Strasbourg goals
- Auxerre goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Auxerre — Strasbourg0:0
- 29.10.2025Strasbourg — Auxerre3:0
- 02.03.2025Auxerre — Strasbourg0:1
- 05.01.2025Strasbourg — Auxerre3:1
- 19.03.2023Strasbourg — Auxerre2:0
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- Paris FCMonacopreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- MarseilleToulousepreliminary5424221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →