Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Viking — Fredrikstad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Viking are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Viking are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viking — Fredrikstad What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Viking not to lose | 92% | |
| Fredrikstad not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Viking
- Viking goals
- Fredrikstad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10away · Brann2:0
- 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
- 13.09Kristiansund8:1
- 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3
- 04.09away · Sandefjord1:1
- 11.10Tromsø1:1
- 20.09away · Vålerenga1:1
- 13.09Sarpsborg 081:1
- 04.09Bodø/Glimt1:2
- 30.08away · Lillestrøm4:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Fredrikstad — Viking1:2
- 23.11.2025Fredrikstad — Viking0:1
- 22.06.2025Viking — Fredrikstad3:0
- 22.09.2024Fredrikstad — Viking3:2
- 21.04.2024Viking — Fredrikstad1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- 4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →