Belarusian Premier League · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Zhodino — Naftan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Zhodino are clear favourites: 64% against 16% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zhodino are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zhodino — Naftan What is xG? | 2.1–0.9 | |
| Zhodino not to lose | 84% | |
| Naftan not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zhodino
- Zhodino goals
- Naftan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · FC Minsk1:0
- 20.09away · Vitebsk0:6
- 12.09away · Neman0:1
- 05.09FC Gomel1:2
- 30.08away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk4:2
- 10.10Belshina4:1
- 19.09away · Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 13.09away · BATE2:2
- 06.09FC Minsk0:3
- 02.09away · Din. Minsk1:5
Head to head
- 29.05.2026Naftan — Zhodino0:4
- 25.09.2025Zhodino — Naftan4:2
- 12.05.2025Naftan — Zhodino0:3
- 29.09.2024Naftan — Zhodino1:1
- 12.05.2024Zhodino — Naftan2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 761581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →