English Premier League: power rankings
Season 2026/27 · updated 13 October 2026
The strongest side by the model is Brighton & Hove Albion: +0.79 goals per game against an average opponent. Biggest climber of the week: Chelsea (+4). Sunderland are 17th in the table but 10th by strength — better than their points.
- Best attackBrighton & Hove Albion2.02 goals per game
- Best defenceArsenal0.91 conceded per game
- Climber of the weekChelsea▲4 · now 6
- Faller of the weekNewcastle United▼4 · now 20
Ranking
Rating — goal difference per game against an average opponent at a neutral venue. ▲▼ — places gained or lost in a week.
| # | Team | Rating | Att. | Def. | Table | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | +0.79 | 2.02 | 1.23 | 3 | WWWDL | 18 October · Crystal Palace (17) |
| 2▲2 | Arsenal | +0.63 | 1.54 | 0.91 | 2 | WLWWW | 18 October · at Nottingham Forest (11) |
| 3▼1 | Manchester City | +0.60 | 1.79 | 1.19 | 1 | WWWWW | 17 October · Ipswich Town (15) |
| 4▼1 | Brentford | +0.37 | 1.62 | 1.24 | 4 | DWDDD | 17 October · Liverpool (8) |
| 5 | Leeds United | +0.16 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 7 | LDWDD | 18 October · Manchester United (7) |
| 6▲4 | Chelsea | +0.13 | 1.68 | 1.54 | 6 | WLDLW | 17 October · at Everton (9) |
| 7 | Manchester United | +0.09 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 13 | DDLDW | 18 October · at Leeds United (5) |
| 8▼2 | Liverpool | +0.06 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 9 | LWDWD | 17 October · at Brentford (4) |
| 9 | Everton | +0.04 | 1.27 | 1.24 | 5 | DWDDD | 17 October · Chelsea (6) |
| 10▼2 | Sunderland | +0.01 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 17 | LLLDW | 18 October · at AFC Bournemouth (12) |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | −0.06 | 1.28 | 1.33 | 15 | LLWDD | 18 October · Arsenal (2) |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth | −0.14 | 1.24 | 1.39 | 18 | LLDDD | 18 October · Sunderland (10) |
| 13 | Hull City | −0.15 | 1.12 | 1.27 | 8 | DLDDW | 17 October · at Fulham (14) |
| 14▲1 | Fulham | −0.24 | 1.21 | 1.46 | 20 | LDDLL | 17 October · Hull City (13) |
| 15▼1 | Ipswich Town | −0.28 | 1.35 | 1.63 | 10 | WLWLL | 17 October · at Manchester City (3) |
| 16▲2 | Aston Villa | −0.34 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 16 | DWLDL | 17 October · at Newcastle United (20) |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | −0.34 | 1.38 | 1.72 | 12 | WDLWL | 18 October · at Brighton & Hove Albion (1) |
| 18▲1 | Coventry City | −0.36 | 1.08 | 1.44 | 14 | WWLLL | 19 October · at Tottenham Hotspur (19) |
| 19▲1 | Tottenham Hotspur | −0.40 | 0.95 | 1.34 | 19 | DLDDL | 19 October · Coventry City (18) |
| 20▼4 | Newcastle United | −0.47 | 1.35 | 1.82 | 11 | LWLDW | 17 October · Aston Villa (16) |
How it is calculated
Only this season counts. The model rates every team’s attack and defence from this season’s matches — by expected goals (xG, the quality of chances) and actual goals, 60 to 40 — taking into account how strong the opponents were. The rating is the goal difference per game it expects against an average team of the league at a neutral venue. Every team starts with three games of league-average form, so a couple of lucky results early on do not make a leader.
Premier League: matches and table →
Premier League: season forecast →