Scottish Premiership: power rankings
Season 2026/27 · updated 13 October 2026
The strongest side by the model is Celtic: +1.03 goals per game against an average opponent. Biggest climber of the week: St. Johnstone (+3).
- Best attackCeltic2.01 goals per game
- Best defenceCeltic0.98 conceded per game
- Climber of the weekSt. Johnstone▲3 · now 6
- Faller of the weekSt. Mirren▼6 · now 11
Ranking
Rating — goal difference per game against an average opponent at a neutral venue. ▲▼ — places gained or lost in a week.
| # | Team | Rating | Att. | Def. | Table | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | +1.03 | 2.01 | 0.98 | 1 | WLWWW | 18 October · Heart of Midlothian (3) |
| 2 | Rangers | +0.58 | 1.57 | 0.98 | 2 | WWWWW | 17 October · at Dundee FC (4) |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | +0.54 | 1.78 | 1.24 | 3 | WDLWW | 18 October · at Celtic (1) |
| 4 | Dundee FC | +0.02 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 4 | WWLDL | 17 October · Rangers (2) |
| 5▲1 | Dundee United | −0.01 | 1.34 | 1.35 | 6 | WWDLW | 17 October · at St. Johnstone (6) |
| 6▲3 | St. Johnstone | −0.12 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 5 | WDLWD | 17 October · Dundee United (5) |
| 7 | Hibernian | −0.19 | 1.29 | 1.48 | 10 | LDLLL | 17 October · Falkirk (10) |
| 8▲2 | Aberdeen | −0.23 | 1.05 | 1.28 | 8 | LDWDL | 17 October · St. Mirren (11) |
| 9▼1 | Motherwell | −0.23 | 1.35 | 1.58 | 9 | LLLLW | 17 October · at Kilmarnock (12) |
| 10▲1 | Falkirk | −0.28 | 1.12 | 1.41 | 11 | LDWDL | 17 October · at Hibernian (7) |
| 11▼6 | St. Mirren | −0.31 | 1.26 | 1.57 | 7 | LLLLW | 17 October · at Aberdeen (8) |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | −0.74 | 1.08 | 1.82 | 12 | LDWDL | 17 October · Motherwell (9) |
How it is calculated
Only this season counts. The model rates every team’s attack and defence from this season’s matches — by expected goals (xG, the quality of chances) and actual goals, 60 to 40 — taking into account how strong the opponents were. The rating is the goal difference per game it expects against an average team of the league at a neutral venue. Every team starts with three games of league-average form, so a couple of lucky results early on do not make a leader.
Scottish Premiership: matches and table →
Scottish Premiership: season forecast →