Serie A: power rankings
Season 2026/27 · updated 13 October 2026
The strongest side by the model is Inter: +1.01 goals per game against an average opponent. Biggest climber of the week: Torino (+4). Monza are 16th in the table but 9th by strength — better than their points.
- Best attackInter2.24 goals per game
- Best defenceJuventus0.86 conceded per game
- Climber of the weekTorino▲4 · now 11
- Faller of the weekFrosinone▼4 · now 15
Ranking
Rating — goal difference per game against an average opponent at a neutral venue. ▲▼ — places gained or lost in a week.
| # | Team | Rating | Att. | Def. | Table | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | +1.01 | 2.24 | 1.22 | 1 | WDWWW | 17 October · at Bologna (10) |
| 2 | Roma | +0.84 | 1.79 | 0.95 | 3 | DDWWW | 17 October · Genoa (17) |
| 3 | Juventus | +0.53 | 1.39 | 0.86 | 6 | DWLDW | 18 October · Lazio (7) |
| 4 | Milan | +0.34 | 1.40 | 1.06 | 5 | DWDDW | 18 October · Atalanta (16) |
| 5▲3 | Napoli | +0.33 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 8 | WDWLL | 17 October · at Venezia (20) |
| 6 | Como | +0.28 | 1.50 | 1.23 | 7 | DLWWW | 18 October · at Fiorentina (13) |
| 7▼2 | Lazio | +0.25 | 1.40 | 1.15 | 2 | WWDWW | 18 October · at Juventus (3) |
| 8▼1 | Sassuolo | +0.19 | 1.56 | 1.36 | 11 | DLWDW | 16 October · at Frosinone (15) |
| 9 | Monza | +0.03 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 16 | LWLDL | 19 October · Cagliari (12) |
| 10 | Bologna | −0.02 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 14 | WDLDL | 17 October · Inter (1) |
| 11▲4 | Torino | −0.09 | 1.24 | 1.32 | 12 | WDLWL | 19 October · at Parma (18) |
| 12▲1 | Cagliari | −0.19 | 1.03 | 1.22 | 4 | DWWWL | 19 October · at Monza (9) |
| 13▲1 | Fiorentina | −0.23 | 1.28 | 1.51 | 19 | LDWLL | 18 October · Como (6) |
| 14▼2 | Udinese | −0.23 | 1.34 | 1.57 | 15 | LLLLW | 18 October · Lecce (19) |
| 15▼4 | Frosinone | −0.25 | 1.32 | 1.57 | 9 | LWDWW | 16 October · Sassuolo (8) |
| 16 | Atalanta | −0.34 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 10 | WLLLW | 18 October · at Milan (4) |
| 17▲1 | Genoa | −0.42 | 0.98 | 1.40 | 17 | WLDLL | 17 October · at Roma (2) |
| 18▼1 | Parma | −0.53 | 0.87 | 1.40 | 18 | LWLDL | 19 October · Torino (11) |
| 19 | Lecce | −0.64 | 1.12 | 1.76 | 13 | LLWLL | 18 October · at Udinese (14) |
| 20 | Venezia | −0.80 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 20 | LLLLL | 17 October · Napoli (5) |
How it is calculated
Only this season counts. The model rates every team’s attack and defence from this season’s matches — by expected goals (xG, the quality of chances) and actual goals, 60 to 40 — taking into account how strong the opponents were. The rating is the goal difference per game it expects against an average team of the league at a neutral venue. Every team starts with three games of league-average form, so a couple of lucky results early on do not make a leader.