Belarusian Premier League · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Haradski Stadium
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — Dynamo Brest
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0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Dynamo Brest to win (51%), came true.
Dynamo Brest are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dynamo Brest are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — Dynamo Brest What is xG? | 1.0–1.6 | |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk not to lose | 49% | |
| Dynamo Brest not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk goals
- Dynamo Brest goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 18.09away · ML Vitebsk1:5
- 12.09Baranovici0:0
- 07.09away · Isloch1:1
- 30.08Zhodino2:4
- 22.08away · Belshina0:2
- 20.09Dnepr Mogilev4:2
- 13.09away · Din. Minsk1:0
- 07.09BATE1:0
- 29.08ML Vitebsk1:3
- 23.08away · Baranovici1:1
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Dynamo Brest — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk3:0
- 02.08.2025Dynamo Brest — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1:1
- 16.03.2025Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — Dynamo Brest1:1
- 22.09.2024Dynamo Brest — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2:1
- 04.05.2024Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — Dynamo Brest0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Isloch | 23 | 13 | +19 | 46 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
Next matches
- Dynamo BrestFC Gomel17 October · Belarusian Premier League4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Din. MinskArsenal Dzerzhinsk19 October · Belarusian Premier League761581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →