Segunda Division, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Córdoba — Eibar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Córdoba are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Córdoba are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Córdoba — Eibar What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Córdoba not to lose | 68% | |
| Eibar not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Córdoba
- Córdoba goals
- Eibar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Eldense1:2
- 05.10Tenerife3:2
- 27.09away · Real Valladolid1:3
- 18.09away · Albacete2:1
- 12.09Almería0:2
- 12.10away · Real Oviedo1:3
- 03.10away · Albacete3:1
- 27.09Las Palmas3:2
- 19.09away · Eldense2:1
- 14.09away · Celta Fortuna4:0
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Eibar — Córdoba2:0
- 13.12.2025Córdoba — Eibar0:0
- 25.05.2025Eibar — Córdoba4:1
- 17.12.2024Córdoba — Eibar2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Almería | 9 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Promotion | Eibar | 9 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Castellón | 9 | 6 | +11 | 20 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- LeganésMallorcapreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
- GironaCelta Fortunapreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Las PalmasReal Sociedad Bpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- AlmeríaReal Oviedopreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →