Segunda Division, round 12 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Eldense — Granada

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Model prediction for 1 November

Eldense36%
Draw29%
Granada34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Eldense 36%, Granada 34%, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Granada are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eldense — Granada What is xG?1.3–1.3
Eldense not to lose66%
Granada not to lose64%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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  • Handicap Eldense
  • Eldense goals
  • Granada goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Eldense

  • 10.10Córdoba2:1
  • 02.10Real Oviedo4:1
  • 27.09away · Burgos CF0:1
  • 19.09Eibar1:2
  • 13.09away · Sporting Gijón1:0

Granada

  • 12.10away · Burgos CF1:0
  • 04.10away · Real Sociedad B3:2
  • 26.09FC Andorra2:3
  • 20.09away · Leganés2:3
  • 12.09Albacete1:1

Head to head

  • 31.01.2025Eldense — Granada0:3
  • 09.11.2024Granada — Eldense3:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Real Oviedo942311–9+214
10Granada942314–13+114
11Real Valladolid933313–11+212
13Celta Fortuna932414–15-111
14Eldense932410–11-111
15Las Palmas932413–16-311

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →