Serie A, round 9 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Genoa — Juventus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Genoa — Juventus What is xG? | 0.8–1.5 | |
| Genoa not to lose | 43% | |
| Juventus not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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- Handicap Genoa
- Genoa goals
- Juventus goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Juventus — Genoa2:0
- 31.08.2025Genoa — Juventus0:1
- 29.03.2025Juventus — Genoa1:0
- 28.09.2024Genoa — Juventus0:3
- 17.03.2024Juventus — Genoa0:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- MilanBolognapreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- ParmaUdinesepreliminary313237XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- VeneziaInterpreliminary612822The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- MonzaNapolipreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →