Ligue 1, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Lyon — Angers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lyon are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lyon are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lyon — Angers What is xG? | 2.1–0.8 | |
| Lyon not to lose | 89% | |
| Angers not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Lyon
- Lyon goals
- Angers goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Lens1:2
- 19.09Rennes4:0
- 16.09away · Anderlecht2:1
- 12.09away · Paris FC0:0
- 04.09Auxerre3:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Angers — Lyon0:0
- 19.09.2025Lyon — Angers1:0
- 17.05.2025Lyon — Angers2:0
- 07.12.2024Angers — Lyon0:3
- 25.02.2023Angers — Lyon1:3
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- NiceRennespreliminary3925361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- LorientBrestpreliminary4028321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- TroyesLe Manspreliminary2324542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →