Ligue 1, round 9 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Nice — Rennes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Nice 39%, Rennes 36%, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nice — Rennes What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Nice not to lose | 64% | |
| Rennes not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nice
- Nice goals
- Rennes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Auxerre4:1
- 19.09away · Lyon0:4
- 16.09away · Sturm Graz0:0
- 11.09Marseille1:0
- 06.09away · Angers2:1
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Nice — Rennes0:4
- 26.10.2025Rennes — Nice1:2
- 10.05.2025Rennes — Nice2:0
- 03.01.2025Nice — Rennes3:2
- 13.01.2024Rennes — Nice2:0
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- LorientBrestpreliminary4028321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- LyonAngerspreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- TroyesLe Manspreliminary2324542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →