Serie A, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Milan — Atalanta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Milan are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Milan are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Milan — Atalanta What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Milan not to lose | 73% | |
| Atalanta not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Milan
- Milan goals
- Atalanta goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Milan — Atalanta2:3
- 28.10.2025Atalanta — Milan1:1
- 20.04.2025Milan — Atalanta0:1
- 06.12.2024Atalanta — Milan2:1
- 25.02.2024Milan — Atalanta1:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 2828432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →