A-League Men (Australia), round 2 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Newcastle Jets are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Newcastle Jets are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC What is xG? | 2.1–1.6 | |
| Newcastle Jets not to lose | 73% | |
| Macarthur FC not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Newcastle Jets
- Newcastle Jets goals
- Macarthur FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 16.05Sydney FC1:1
- 09.05away · Sydney FC1:1
- 25.04Central Coast Mariners4:0
- 17.04away · Melbourne Victory2:2
- 11.04Adelaide United1:1
- 24.04Wellington Phoenix4:0
- 19.04away · Adelaide United1:3
- 12.04away · Perth Glory1:3
- 02.04Newcastle Jets3:2
- 21.03away · Auckland FC2:1
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Macarthur FC — Newcastle Jets3:2
- 22.02.2026Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC1:0
- 26.12.2025Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC4:5
- 28.03.2025Macarthur FC — Newcastle Jets3:3
- 12.01.2025Newcastle Jets — Macarthur FC1:3
A-League on the same day
- Western Sydney Wanderers FCAuckland FCpreliminary3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City FCpreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →