Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PSV Eindhoven are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord What is xG? | 2.0–1.6 | |
| PSV Eindhoven not to lose | 74% | |
| Feyenoord not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven goals
- Feyenoord goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10SC Heerenveen2:0
- 20.09away · FC Twente2:3
- 13.09Sparta Rotterdam4:1
- 10.09Shakhtar Donetsk1:1
- 05.09away · Ajax3:1
- 10.10AZ Alkmaar2:0
- 20.09FC Utrecht5:0
- 13.09away · PEC Zwolle7:0
- 09.09away · Barcelona1:5
- 05.09away · NEC Nijmegen3:1
Head to head
- 01.02.2026PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord3:0
- 26.10.2025Feyenoord — PSV Eindhoven2:3
- 11.05.2025Feyenoord — PSV Eindhoven2:3
- 22.12.2024PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord3:0
- 03.03.2024PSV Eindhoven — Feyenoord2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | +20 | 20 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | +16 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- Fortuna SittardExcelsiorpreliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.0
- NEC NijmegenFC Groningenpreliminary4327291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
- Sparta RotterdamAjaxpreliminary2327502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.2
- AZ AlkmaarFC Twentepreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →