La Liga, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Racing Santander — Espanyol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Racing Santander are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Racing Santander are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Santander — Espanyol What is xG? | 1.7–1.5 | |
| Racing Santander not to lose | 71% | |
| Espanyol not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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Form
- 11.10Valencia2:2
- 19.09away · Celta Vigo0:5
- 16.09away · Barcelona2:7
- 12.09Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 05.09away · Rayo Vallecano2:3
- 09.10away · Málaga1:1
- 18.09Elche1:3
- 15.09away · Rayo Vallecano1:2
- 12.09away · Osasuna2:0
- 06.09Sevilla1:1
Head to head
- 10.02.2024Racing Santander — Espanyol2:0
- 19.08.2023Espanyol — Racing Santander2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
La Liga on the same day
- Rayo VallecanoElchepreliminary5725171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- ValenciaVillarrealpreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- Atlético MadridDeportivo A Coruñapreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →