Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Sirius — AIK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sirius are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sirius are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sirius — AIK What is xG? | 2.1–1.2 | |
| Sirius not to lose | 82% | |
| AIK not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Sirius
- Sirius goals
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Form
- 10.10away · GAIS1:0
- 19.09away · Örgryte2:1
- 14.09Degerfors2:0
- 05.09away · Västerås SK1:0
- 31.08Malmö FF0:1
- 10.10Brommapojkarna5:6
- 20.09away · Halmstads BK1:2
- 16.09Mjällby1:1
- 12.09Västerås SK1:4
- 07.09away · Malmö FF0:0
Head to head
- 30.05.2026AIK — Sirius0:3
- 31.08.2025AIK — Sirius2:1
- 01.06.2025Sirius — AIK3:1
- 25.09.2024Sirius — AIK0:1
- 11.05.2024AIK — Sirius1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Sirius | 23 | 17 | +25 | 54 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | +7 | 30 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- HäckenDegerforspreliminary6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- DjurgårdenÖrgrytepreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- Kalmar FFBrommapojkarnapreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →