Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Al Diriyah — Al Riyadh
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Diriyah are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Diriyah are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Diriyah — Al Riyadh What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Al Diriyah not to lose | 83% | |
| Al Riyadh not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Diriyah
- Al Diriyah goals
- Al Riyadh goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10away · Al Nassr FC0:3
- 13.09Abha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Fateh FC2:1
- 03.09Al Qadsiah0:2
- 29.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:0
- 11.10away · Al-Fayha1:1
- 13.09Al Kholood2:0
- 07.09away · Al Khaleej0:0
- 04.09away · Al Ahli0:5
- 28.08Neom SC1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al-TaawounAl Qadsiahpreliminary1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- Al-EttifaqAl Ittihadpreliminary2628452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- Al Nassr FCNeom SCpreliminary6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →