Brazilian Serie B, round 33 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Arena NicNet
Botafogo SP — Ceará
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Botafogo SP to win (43%), came true.
Botafogo SP are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Botafogo SP — Ceará What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Botafogo SP not to lose | 72% | |
| Ceará not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Botafogo SP
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- Ceará goals
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Form
- 08.10away · Operário-PR2:1
- 04.10Vila Nova0:1
- 30.09Ponte Preta2:0
- 20.09away · Athletic Club MG1:1
- 15.09Goiás1:3
- 09.10Criciúma1:0
- 03.10away · Avaí1:0
- 26.09away · Operário-PR2:2
- 19.09Novorizontino2:1
- 14.09away · Fortaleza1:1
Head to head
- 21.06.2026Ceará — Botafogo SP0:1
- 13.11.2024Botafogo SP — Ceará1:4
- 26.07.2024Ceará — Botafogo SP4:1
- 04.11.2023Botafogo SP — Ceará2:2
- 08.07.2023Ceará — Botafogo SP3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Náutico | 33 | 11 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 17, Relegation | Avaí | 33 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
Next matches
- CearáJuventude17 October · Brasileirao Serie B343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
- CRBBotafogo SP18 October · Brasileirao Serie B5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 89831The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 4:0.3.2
- 6721111The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →