Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
CRB — Botafogo SP
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
CRB are clear favourites: 59% against 17% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CRB are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CRB — Botafogo SP What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| CRB not to lose | 83% | |
| Botafogo SP not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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Form
- 12.10away · Fortaleza2:2
- 08.10Atlético-GO3:1
- 03.10away · São Bernardo1:3
- 27.09Cuiabá3:0
- 20.09away · Ponte Preta0:1
- 13.10Ceará1:0
- 08.10away · Operário-PR2:1
- 04.10Vila Nova0:1
- 30.09Ponte Preta2:0
- 20.09away · Athletic Club MG1:1
Head to head
- 01.07.2026Botafogo SP — CRB0:1
- 25.09.2025CRB — Botafogo SP3:2
- 27.05.2025Botafogo SP — CRB2:1
- 25.09.2024Botafogo SP — CRB0:0
- 18.07.2024CRB — Botafogo SP4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 15 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 17, Relegation | Avaí | 33 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →