French Ligue 2, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Clermont Foot — Guingamp

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Model prediction for 23 October

Clermont Foot29%
Draw31%
Guingamp40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Guingamp are slightly stronger: 40% against 29%, draw 31%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Clermont Foot — Guingamp What is xG?1.2–1.4
Clermont Foot not to lose60%
Guingamp not to lose71%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Clermont Foot
  • Clermont Foot goals
  • Guingamp goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Clermont Foot

  • 10.10Red Star2:3
  • 18.09away · Grenoble1:1
  • 11.09Boulogne0:0
  • 04.09away · Dunkerque1:1
  • 28.08Sochaux0:0

Guingamp

  • 09.10away · Nancy0:1
  • 19.09Red Star1:3
  • 12.09Annecy FC2:1
  • 05.09away · Reims2:2
  • 29.08Nantes3:3

Head to head

  • 09.05.2026Clermont Foot — Guingamp1:0
  • 24.10.2025Guingamp — Clermont Foot0:1
  • 07.03.2025Guingamp — Clermont Foot3:1
  • 05.10.2024Clermont Foot — Guingamp4:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Metz824212–11+110
11Guingamp822410–13-38
12Dunkerque822410–13-38
16, Relegation play-offBoulogne80624–6-26
17, RelegationClermont Foot80626–9-36
18, RelegationLaval812510–17-75

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • DunkerqueMetzpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
  • NancyLavalpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • PauGrenoblepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • SochauxAnnecy FCpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →