French Ligue 2, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Pau — Grenoble
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pau are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pau are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pau — Grenoble What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Pau not to lose | 76% | |
| Grenoble not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Pau
- Pau goals
- Grenoble goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Montpellier0:2
- 18.09Clermont Foot1:1
- 11.09away · Rodez1:0
- 04.09Annecy FC1:2
- 28.08away · Laval3:0
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Pau — Grenoble2:2
- 17.10.2025Grenoble — Pau1:1
- 28.02.2025Pau — Grenoble1:0
- 30.08.2024Grenoble — Pau1:1
- 24.02.2024Grenoble — Pau0:1
Table
Ligue 2 on the same day
- Clermont FootGuingamppreliminary2931402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- DunkerqueMetzpreliminary3328392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- NancyLavalpreliminary4728241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- SochauxAnnecy FCpreliminary3030392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →