Brazilian Serie B, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
São Bernardo — Criciúma
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: São Bernardo 36%, Criciúma 33%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Criciúma are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: São Bernardo — Criciúma What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| São Bernardo not to lose | 67% | |
| Criciúma not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Juventude2:2
- 07.10away · Sport Recife1:2
- 03.10CRB3:1
- 26.09away · Novorizontino0:0
- 19.09Atlético-GO1:0
- 13.10América-MG1:0
- 09.10away · Ceará0:1
- 03.10away · Londrina2:0
- 27.09Avaí3:0
- 23.09Operário-PR0:2
Head to head
- 27.06.2026Criciúma — São Bernardo1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Fortaleza | 33 | 15 | +10 | 57 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Criciúma | 33 | 16 | +6 | 56 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Atlético-GO | 33 | 14 | +10 | 53 |
| 11 | Cuiabá | 33 | 11 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 32 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- 5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →