South African Premiership · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Chatsworth Stadium

Durban City — AmaZulu FC

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Model prediction for 13 October

In play · estimate from before kick-off

Durban City43%
Draw32%
AmaZulu FC25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Durban City are slightly stronger: 43% against 25%, draw 32%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Durban City are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Durban City — AmaZulu FC What is xG?1.1–0.8
Durban City not to lose75%
AmaZulu FC not to lose57%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.529%
Total under 2.571%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Durban City
  • Durban City goals
  • AmaZulu FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Durban City

  • 20.09away · Milford FC1:1
  • 17.09away · Orlando Pirates0:2
  • 01.09Stellenbosch FC0:0
  • 25.08away · Kruger United2:0
  • 15.08Richards Bay1:1

AmaZulu FC

  • 19.09away · Polokwane City1:0
  • 12.09Marumo Gallants1:0
  • 04.09away · Richards Bay2:1
  • 26.08away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC2:5
  • 15.08Siwelele2:0

Head to head

  • 23.05.2026Durban City — AmaZulu FC0:1
  • 18.10.2025AmaZulu FC — Durban City1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, CAF Champions LeagueOrlando Pirates761016–1+1519
3, CAF Confederation CupAmaZulu FC751110–7+316
4Kaizer Chiefs734012–7+513
9Chippa United71514–6-28
10Durban City71424–5-17
11Polokwane City71428–10-27

Season 2026/27

Full table

SA Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →