Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium

FAR Rabat — Widad Temara

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Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
FAR Rabat58%
Draw25%
Widad Temara16%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, FAR Rabat to win (58%), came true.

FAR Rabat are clear favourites: 58% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FAR Rabat are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FAR Rabat — Widad Temara What is xG?1.6–0.8
FAR Rabat not to lose84%
Widad Temara not to lose42%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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Form

FAR Rabat

  • 05.07Renaissance Club Zemamra0:0
  • 02.07away · CODM Meknès2:3
  • 28.06Union Touarga Sport2:2
  • 25.06away · RS Berkane2:2
  • 21.06KACM2:0

Widad Temara

  • 02.10Union Touarga Sport0:1
  • 26.09away · Wydad Casablanca3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Ittihad Tanger31115–4+14
7FAR Rabat21103–2+14
8Raja Casablanca21101–0+14
9Wydad Casablanca31113–304
10Widad Temara31023–303
11MAT Tetouan30301–103

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Hassania AgadirFAR Rabat12 October · Botola Pro
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
  • Widad TemaraKACM18 October · Botola Pro
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8

Botola Pro on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →