Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
FC Gomel — Din. Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Din. Minsk are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Gomel — Din. Minsk What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| FC Gomel not to lose | 54% | |
| Din. Minsk not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Gomel
- FC Gomel goals
- Din. Minsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10ML Vitebsk1:5
- 20.09away · Baranovici2:0
- 13.09away · Isloch1:2
- 05.09away · Zhodino2:1
- 28.08Belshina1:0
- 11.10away · Dnepr Mogilev3:2
- 19.09BATE2:0
- 13.09Dynamo Brest0:1
- 06.09away · ML Vitebsk0:0
- 02.09Naftan5:1
Head to head
- 13.06.2026Din. Minsk — FC Gomel2:1
- 18.10.2025Din. Minsk — FC Gomel0:0
- 25.05.2025FC Gomel — Din. Minsk0:1
- 12.09.2024Din. Minsk — FC Gomel2:0
- 13.04.2024FC Gomel — Din. Minsk0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Isloch | 23 | 13 | +19 | 46 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- NaftanIslochpreliminary1624592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- BATEBelshinapreliminary5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- VitebskML Vitebskpreliminary2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →