Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Vitebsk — ML Vitebsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ML Vitebsk are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ML Vitebsk are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitebsk — ML Vitebsk What is xG? | 0.8–1.5 | |
| Vitebsk not to lose | 47% | |
| ML Vitebsk not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vitebsk
- Vitebsk goals
- ML Vitebsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Gomel5:1
- 18.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5:1
- 13.09away · Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 06.09Din. Minsk0:0
- 02.09Belshina1:1
Head to head
- 13.06.2026ML Vitebsk — Vitebsk1:2
- 26.10.2025Vitebsk — ML Vitebsk0:1
- 31.05.2025ML Vitebsk — Vitebsk2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- FC GomelDin. Minskpreliminary2727462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- NaftanIslochpreliminary1624592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- BATEBelshinapreliminary5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →