English Premier League, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Fulham — Hull City

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Model prediction for 17 October

Fulham53%
Draw26%
Hull City21%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Fulham are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Fulham are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fulham — Hull City What is xG?1.6–1.0
Fulham not to lose79%
Hull City not to lose47%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Fulham
  • Fulham goals
  • Hull City goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Fulham

  • 10.10away · Ipswich Town1:2
  • 20.09Manchester United1:1
  • 15.09away · West Ham United3:2
  • 12.09away · Liverpool0:0
  • 05.09Crystal Palace2:3

Hull City

  • 11.10Everton2:2
  • 19.09away · Newcastle United1:2
  • 12.09away · Chelsea2:2
  • 08.09away · Sunderland0:1
  • 05.09Aston Villa0:0

Head to head

  • 07.01.2023Hull City — Fulham0:2
  • 12.02.2022Hull City — Fulham0:1
  • 21.08.2021Fulham — Hull City2:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Leeds United62318–5+39
8Hull City62318–6+29
9Liverpool62317–709
19, RelegationTottenham Hotspur60333–9-63
20, RelegationFulham60246–10-42

Season 2026/27

Full table

Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →