Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Halmstads BK — Hammarby
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Hammarby are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hammarby are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Halmstads BK — Hammarby What is xG? | 0.9–2.5 | |
| Halmstads BK not to lose | 27% | |
| Hammarby not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Halmstads BK
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Form
- 12.10away · Elfsborg0:4
- 20.09AIK2:1
- 12.09away · IFK Göteborg1:2
- 05.09away · Degerfors0:2
- 29.08Kalmar FF1:0
- 11.10Djurgården0:1
- 20.09away · Degerfors1:0
- 13.09Brommapojkarna3:1
- 06.09away · Örgryte1:1
- 30.08away · AIK2:3
Head to head
- 22.04.2026Hammarby — Halmstads BK1:1
- 28.09.2025Halmstads BK — Hammarby1:0
- 28.06.2025Hammarby — Halmstads BK2:0
- 05.10.2024Hammarby — Halmstads BK1:0
- 25.04.2024Halmstads BK — Hammarby2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 23 | 14 | +27 | 44 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Hammarby | 23 | 13 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | +13 | 40 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 1925562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →