Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Malmö FF — Häcken

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 18 October

Malmö FF36%
Draw28%
Häcken36%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Malmö FF 36%, Häcken 36%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Malmö FF — Häcken What is xG?1.5–1.5
Malmö FF not to lose64%
Häcken not to lose64%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Malmö FF
  • Malmö FF goals
  • Häcken goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Malmö FF

  • 12.10Kalmar FF1:0
  • 19.09away · Västerås SK0:2
  • 13.09Örgryte4:1
  • 07.09AIK0:0
  • 31.08away · Sirius1:0

Häcken

  • 11.10Örgryte3:0
  • 20.09away · Kalmar FF5:0
  • 11.09Mjällby1:1
  • 05.09away · GAIS0:0
  • 29.08Västerås SK1:3

Head to head

  • 10.05.2026Häcken — Malmö FF3:2
  • 01.11.2025Häcken — Malmö FF1:1
  • 01.06.2025Malmö FF — Häcken3:0
  • 22.09.2024Malmö FF — Häcken4:0
  • 20.05.2024Häcken — Malmö FF2:2

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Elfsborg23117535–22+1340
5Häcken23109442–30+1239
6Malmö FF23113938–33+536
7Västerås SK23105834–36-235

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →