Super League Greece, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Kalamata — OFI Crete

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Model prediction for 18 October

Kalamata51%
Draw27%
OFI Crete22%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Kalamata are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kalamata are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kalamata — OFI Crete What is xG?1.8–1.1
Kalamata not to lose78%
OFI Crete not to lose49%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Kalamata
  • Kalamata goals
  • OFI Crete goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kalamata

  • 12.10away · PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
  • 20.09Panathinaikos0:1
  • 13.09NFC Volos3:1
  • 06.09away · Atromitos1:1
  • 29.08away · Panetolikos0:2

OFI Crete

  • 10.10away · AEK Athens0:3
  • 20.09Asteras Tripolis2:2
  • 17.09Hoffenheim2:0
  • 12.09away · Olympiacos1:0
  • 06.09Kifisia FC2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4PAOK Thessaloniki640213–8+512
5OFI Crete63128–7+110
6Aris Thessaloniki63128–12-410
9Kifisia FC62226–7-18
10Kalamata62139–907
11Asteras Tripolis61236–10-45

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →