Serie A, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Lecce — Genoa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Genoa are slightly stronger: 40% against 27%, draw 33%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genoa are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lecce — Genoa What is xG? | 1.0–1.2 | |
| Lecce not to lose | 60% | |
| Genoa not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Lecce
- Lecce goals
- Genoa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Lecce — Genoa1:0
- 23.08.2025Genoa — Lecce0:0
- 14.03.2025Genoa — Lecce2:1
- 05.01.2025Lecce — Genoa0:0
- 28.01.2024Genoa — Lecce2:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- ComoVeneziapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FrosinoneTorinopreliminary323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- LazioCagliaripreliminary5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- JuventusNapolipreliminary5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →