Ligue 1, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Marseille — Le Havre
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Marseille are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Marseille are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marseille — Le Havre What is xG? | 2.1–1.0 | |
| Marseille not to lose | 86% | |
| Le Havre not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Marseille
- Marseille goals
- Le Havre goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Troyes2:0
- 20.09Paris Saint-Germain1:2
- 17.09away · Beşiktaş1:4
- 11.09away · Rennes0:1
- 06.09Paris FC2:3
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Le Havre — Marseille0:1
- 18.10.2025Marseille — Le Havre6:2
- 10.05.2025Le Havre — Marseille1:3
- 05.01.2025Marseille — Le Havre5:1
- 19.05.2024Le Havre — Marseille1:2
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- MonacoLillepreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- AngersLorientpreliminary3128422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- AuxerreLe Manspreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- RennesStrasbourgpreliminary5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Paris Saint-GermainLyonpreliminary7416101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →