French Ligue 2, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes — Reims

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Nantes31%
Draw28%
Reims41%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Reims to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

Reims are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nantes — Reims What is xG?1.1–1.3
Nantes not to lose59%
Reims not to lose69%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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  • Handicap Nantes
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  • Reims goals
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Form

Nantes

  • 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
  • 12.09away · Sochaux0:1
  • 07.09Nancy1:0
  • 29.08away · Guingamp3:3
  • 22.08Rodez2:5

Reims

  • 18.09Montpellier1:1
  • 11.09away · Nancy2:1
  • 05.09Guingamp2:2
  • 29.08away · Red Star4:1
  • 24.08Annecy FC3:1

Head to head

  • 02.02.2025Reims — Nantes1:2
  • 15.09.2024Nantes — Reims1:2
  • 28.01.2024Reims — Nantes0:0
  • 05.11.2023Nantes — Reims0:1
  • 02.04.2023Nantes — Reims0:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Promotion play-offsMontpellier84318–5+315
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
12Dunkerque822410–13-38
13Nantes82249–13-48
14Grenoble82248–13-58

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • ReimsDijon16 October · Ligue 2
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.6
  • NantesDunkerque17 October · Ligue 2
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.2.2
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →