Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Start — Lillestrøm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Start 37%, Lillestrøm 36%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Start — Lillestrøm What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Start not to lose | 64% | |
| Lillestrøm not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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Form
- 11.10Hamarkameratene2:4
- 20.09away · Sandefjord0:3
- 13.09Brann2:0
- 04.09away · Aalesund0:2
- 30.08KFUM4:1
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Lillestrøm — Start3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- BrannMoldepreliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- KFUMHamarkameratenepreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Sarpsborg 08Kristiansundpreliminary6520141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- VålerengaTromsøpreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →