Serie A, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Udinese — Milan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Milan are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Milan are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Udinese — Milan What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Udinese not to lose | 50% | |
| Milan not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Udinese
- Udinese goals
- Milan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Milan — Udinese0:3
- 20.09.2025Udinese — Milan0:3
- 11.04.2025Udinese — Milan0:4
- 19.10.2024Milan — Udinese1:0
- 20.01.2024Udinese — Milan2:3
Table
Serie A on the same day
- InterFiorentinapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- AtalantaFrosinonepreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- GenoaVeneziapreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- LecceJuventuspreliminary1024662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →