Ligue 1, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Angers — Marseille
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Marseille are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Marseille are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Angers — Marseille What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Angers not to lose | 45% | |
| Marseille not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Marseille goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Troyes2:0
- 20.09Paris Saint-Germain1:2
- 17.09away · Beşiktaş1:4
- 11.09away · Rennes0:1
- 06.09Paris FC2:3
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Angers — Marseille2:5
- 29.10.2025Marseille — Angers2:2
- 09.02.2025Angers — Marseille0:2
- 04.10.2024Marseille — Angers1:1
- 14.05.2023Marseille — Angers3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →