Ligue 1, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Le Havre — Auxerre
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Le Havre are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Le Havre are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Le Havre — Auxerre What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Le Havre not to lose | 68% | |
| Auxerre not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Le Havre
- Le Havre goals
- Auxerre goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Le Havre — Auxerre1:1
- 26.10.2025Auxerre — Le Havre0:1
- 04.05.2025Auxerre — Le Havre1:2
- 01.09.2024Le Havre — Auxerre3:1
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →