Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Arosa SC — Pontevedra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pontevedra are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pontevedra are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arosa SC — Pontevedra What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Arosa SC not to lose | 51% | |
| Pontevedra not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Pontevedra goals
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →