Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Benevento — LR Vicenza

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Model prediction for 17 October

Benevento53%
Draw26%
LR Vicenza20%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Benevento are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Benevento are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Benevento — LR Vicenza What is xG?1.7–1.0
Benevento not to lose80%
LR Vicenza not to lose47%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Benevento
  • Benevento goals
  • LR Vicenza goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Benevento

  • 10.10Cesena2:0
  • 19.09away · Carrarese1:0
  • 11.09Hellas Verona3:1
  • 05.09away · Ascoli0:1
  • 30.08Südtirol1:1

LR Vicenza

  • 10.10Pisa0:3
  • 20.09away · Hellas Verona1:2
  • 12.09Juve Stabia1:1
  • 06.09away · Virtus Entella2:2
  • 29.08away · Avellino0:3

Head to head

  • 10.04.2022Benevento — LR Vicenza1:0
  • 30.11.2021LR Vicenza — Benevento2:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7, Promotion play-offsPisa631211–8+310
8, Promotion play-offsBenevento63128–5+310
9Hellas Verona621312–10+27
16, Relegation play-offEmpoli62046–10-46
17, Relegation play-offLR Vicenza61237–13-65
18, RelegationCarrarese61144–6-24

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →