DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Dynamo Dresden — Schalke 04
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Schalke 04 are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Schalke 04 are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden — Schalke 04 What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Dynamo Dresden not to lose | 48% | |
| Schalke 04 not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden goals
- Schalke 04 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 19.09Hertha BSC1:2
- 12.09away · Eintracht Braunschweig2:2
- 05.09Bochum1:2
- 29.08away · FC Heidenheim3:5
- 11.10away · Freiburg1:2
- 20.09Elversberg0:0
- 11.09away · Union Berlin3:1
- 05.09Bayern München0:0
- 30.08away · Augsburg0:3
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Schalke 04 — Dynamo Dresden2:2
- 31.08.2025Dynamo Dresden — Schalke 040:1
- 01.04.2022Dynamo Dresden — Schalke 041:2
- 23.10.2021Schalke 04 — Dynamo Dresden3:0
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- FreiburgWolfsburgpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- SSV JeddelohHertha BSCpreliminary916762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- PaderbornVfB Stuttgartpreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnbergpreliminary781471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- Bayern MünchenMagdeburgpreliminary97211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:05.2
- Hannover 96Kaiserslauternpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Holstein KielHoffenheimpreliminary1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →