DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Holstein Kiel — Hoffenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hoffenheim are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hoffenheim are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Holstein Kiel — Hoffenheim What is xG? | 1.0–2.0 | |
| Holstein Kiel not to lose | 40% | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Holstein Kiel
- Holstein Kiel goals
- Hoffenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Eintracht Braunschweig0:1
- 19.09VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 13.09away · FC Heidenheim0:1
- 05.091. FC Nürnberg2:2
- 30.08away · Magdeburg0:2
- 10.10Hamburger SV2:3
- 20.09away · Paderborn1:3
- 17.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 12.09VfB Stuttgart2:1
- 05.09Borussia Dortmund2:3
Head to head
- 18.01.2025Holstein Kiel — Hoffenheim1:3
- 24.08.2024Hoffenheim — Holstein Kiel3:2
- 26.10.2021Hoffenheim — Holstein Kiel5:1
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- FreiburgWolfsburgpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- SSV JeddelohHertha BSCpreliminary916762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- PaderbornVfB Stuttgartpreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Dynamo DresdenSchalke 04preliminary2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnbergpreliminary781471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- Bayern MünchenMagdeburgpreliminary97211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:05.2
- Hannover 96Kaiserslauternpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →