DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
VfB Stuttgart are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings VfB Stuttgart are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Paderborn not to lose | 41% | |
| VfB Stuttgart not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Paderborn goals
- VfB Stuttgart goals
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Form
- 10.10VfB Stuttgart0:2
- 20.09Hoffenheim3:1
- 12.09away · Borussia Dortmund0:3
- 05.09Freiburg0:1
- 29.08away · Mainz 050:0
- 10.10away · Paderborn2:0
- 19.09Borussia Dortmund0:1
- 12.09away · Hoffenheim1:2
- 09.09Viking3:1
- 04.091. FC Köln4:1
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart0:2
- 31.01.2023Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart1:2
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- FreiburgWolfsburgpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- SSV JeddelohHertha BSCpreliminary916762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- Dynamo DresdenSchalke 04preliminary2325522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnbergpreliminary781471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- Bayern MünchenMagdeburgpreliminary97211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:05.2
- Hannover 96Kaiserslauternpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Holstein KielHoffenheimpreliminary1722602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →