Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter Miami CF are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 73%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF What is xG? | 1.8–1.9 | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 59% | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 27% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap New England Revolution
- New England Revolution goals
- Inter Miami CF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Seattle Sounders FC0:3
- 27.09away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 20.09Orlando City4:2
- 14.09away · Chicago Fire FC2:1
- 10.09away · New York City FC2:1
- 11.10DC United4:0
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution1:1
- 05.10.2025Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution4:1
- 10.07.2025New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF1:2
- 20.10.2024Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution6:2
- 28.04.2024New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
MLS on the same day
- Nashville SCRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FCpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Atlanta UnitedToronto FCpreliminary4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Los Angeles FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary5624191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FCpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →