La Liga, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
Real Betis — Osasuna
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5:2Came true
In short
Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Real Betis to win (56%), came true.
Real Betis are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Betis — Osasuna What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 83% | |
| Osasuna not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Real Betis
- Real Betis goals
- Osasuna goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
- 04.09Real Madrid1:0
- 19.09Rayo Vallecano1:1
- 16.09away · Atlético Madrid0:4
- 12.09Espanyol0:2
- 06.09away · Deportivo Alavés2:5
- 31.08Getafe1:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Osasuna — Real Betis1:1
- 28.09.2025Real Betis — Osasuna2:0
- 11.05.2025Real Betis — Osasuna1:1
- 19.10.2024Osasuna — Real Betis1:2
- 05.05.2024Osasuna — Real Betis0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
Next matches
- Real BetisFC Porto14 October · Champions League3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- OsasunaRacing Santander18 October · La Liga5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
La Liga on the same day
- 333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- 3929321The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →