Segunda Division, round 11 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sabadell — Tenerife
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sabadell are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sabadell are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sabadell — Tenerife What is xG? | 1.5–0.6 | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 86% | |
| Tenerife not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sabadell
- Sabadell goals
- Tenerife goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 04.10FC Andorra0:0
- 26.09away · Celta Fortuna1:1
- 20.09Real Oviedo3:1
- 13.09away · Mallorca0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid | 9 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- AlbaceteEldensepreliminary4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- CádizAD Ceuta FCpreliminary4926241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- CastellónSporting Gijónpreliminary5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →